The State of the Election- 2020.

When people hear about New York, they immediately think of the Empire State Building, or the Statue of Liberty, or the George Washington Bridge, or Times Square. However, there is a whole state located to the north, rich with forests, mountains, and lakes. New York has 62 counties, including the 5 boroughs of New York City.  How has New York voted in the past, and how do the different regions of (this state) vote? New York has been safely in the Democratic column since 1988. The growth of immigrants and minorities in the state make it among the safest states for Joe Biden, and for every Democratic nominee in the future. New York's electoral votes are declared for the Democrat as soon as the polls close. It would take too long to talk about all 62 counties individually, but there are some noteworthy counties that should be talked about. Here are the regions- And for comparison, here is the county map- New York City is the smallest region by area but the largest by populati...

Imagining Arkansas as a blue state today is all but impossible. However, only 25 years ago, it was difficult to imagine Arkansas as a red state. Their favorite son, Bill Clinton, was president, and his home state was a state that he was guaranteed to win no matter what in 1996. Skip to 2016, and Hillary Clinton lost Arkansas by nearly 30 points to Trump. So why did Arkansans turn on what was once their favorite family? Probably because the Clinton's, Hillary in particular, turned on them when they moved to New York in 2000. Looking back, any sane Democrat would agree that this was an egregious mistake on Mrs. Clinton's behalf. Why move to New York and abandon the state that chose her husband to occupy the Governor's office and thus by far contributed the most to her rise to prominence? To be clear, Mrs. Clinton should be commended for her ambition to remain in politics after her husband's presidency ended, as no First Lady had ever done this. However, there was no rea...

For our 4th state, we pay a visit to the most sparsely populated state in America and, appropriately enough, the most conservative one as well. With no major urban areas and a total population of about 1/3 that of Manhattan island, people from Wyoming have a sense of self-pride and independence. Oh, and most of them have never used an escalator, as there are only 2 of them in the entire state. Wyoming also had not really produced any noteworthy politicians until 2000 when Dick Cheney became George Bush's running mate and then became Vice President upon Bush's victory. How has Wyoming voted in the past, and how do the different counties/regions of Wyoming vote? It's not clear what the actual geographic regions of Wyoming are, but here are two maps. The reason for the second map is because one shows the cities, while the other shows the counties. Wyoming is much more known for it's natural beauty and its scenery than it is for its people or its cities. Its larg...

As the title says, the majority of Maryland's counties vote Republican, but the few that vote Democratic are the ones that comprise of the majority of Maryland's population. Hillary Clinton won Maryland by over 26 points in 2016, and Joe Biden seems likely to push that margin to upwards of 30 points or higher.    How has (this state) voted in the past, and how do the different regions of (this state) vote? Maryland is one of the the safest states for Democrats. Like Delaware and New Jersey, they have voted for the Democratic nominee in every presidential election since 1992. They were also one of the few states to back Jimmy Carter in 1980. In recent decades, Maryland has only voted Republican in the landslide elections of 1952, 1956, 1972, 1984, and 1988. They also backed Thomas Dewey over Harry Truman in 1948. However, large influxes of immigrants as well as African Americans moving into the D.C. suburbs have pushed the state decisively into the Democratic colum...

For our next state, we head west from New Jersey, across the Delaware river, to another safely blue state whose favorite son is the Democratic nominee. Most schoolchildren know Delaware as being the first state to ratify the Constitution, while most business people know Delaware as being a corporate tax haven. While Trump narrowed the margins in Delaware in 2016, Joe Biden is all but certain to win his home state in a landslide this time around.   How has (this state) voted in the past, and how do the different regions of (this state) vote? For the past 30 years or so, Delaware has been solidly Democratic. Delaware is too small to have "regions" so to speak, but the topography is pretty uniform throughout the state, unlike New Jersey. Delaware has only 3 counties, the fewest out of any state (Rhode Island has 5). The three counties are New Castle, Kent, and Sussex.  Delaware is the first example of a single city determining the outcome for the entire state- namely, Wilm...

For the next 107 days, I will try to cover all 50 states and how the regions in that respective state has voted and will likely vote in November. The order of the states is completely random, which is why I am starting out with New Jersey. I will ask the following questions and then attempt to give my best answer- 1. How has (this state) voted in the past, and how do the different regions of (this state) vote? 2. Were there any major changes in 2016 that may foreshadow a change in (this state)'s political leanings? 3. When was the last time a Republican carried (this state) and how did he do it? 4. When was the last time a Democrat carried (this state) and how did he/she do it? 5. If (this state) is safely red or blue on the presidential level, does the dominance of that party cover state and local elections as well? 6. So who will win (this state)? So let's begin. How has New Jersey voted in the past, and how do the different regions of this state vote? Most New ...